Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Japan
Japan: Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal was 1 Unspecified in 2026. ▼ Falling
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Japan, 1956–2026
Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Unspecified.
Analysis
In 2026, sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Japan stood at 1 Unspecified. That is the highest value across all 71 years on record.
Compared with earlier readings it is unchanged over five years.
Over the whole period, sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Japan peaked at 1 Unspecified in 1956 and was at its lowest, 0 Unspecified, in 1960.
Japan ranks 1st of 30 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 71 years of available data.
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Japan, year by year
| Year | Unspecified | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1956 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 1957 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1958 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1959 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1960 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 1961 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 1962 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 1963 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 1964 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1965 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1966 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1967 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1968 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1969 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1970 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1971 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1972 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1973 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1974 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1975 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1976 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1977 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1978 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1979 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1980 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1981 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1982 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1983 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1984 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1985 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1986 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1987 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1988 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 1989 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 1990 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 1991 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 1992 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1993 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1994 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1995 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1996 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1997 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1998 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 1999 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2000 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2001 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2002 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2003 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2004 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 2005 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 2006 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2007 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2008 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2009 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2010 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2011 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2012 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2013 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2014 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 2015 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 2016 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 2017 | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 2018 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 2019 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2020 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2021 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
| 2022 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 2023 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 2024 | 0 Unspecified | -100.0% |
| 2025 | 1 Unspecified | — |
| 2026 | 1 Unspecified | +0.0% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 1 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 4 |
| 1960s | 0.7 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 1970s | 1 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 1980s | 0.8 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 1990s | 0.9 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 2000s | 0.9 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 2010s | 0.6 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 10 |
| 2020s | 0.7143 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 1 Unspecified | 7 |
Countries ranked near Japan
- 1 United Kingdom 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Ireland 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Luxembourg 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Chile 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Netherlands 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Czechia 1 Unspecified compare
- 1 Slovenia 1 Unspecified compare
More reference data data for Japan
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 1.19 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 0.981 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 4.49 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 0.3629 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Agricultural Soils 4.49 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 3.98 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure Management 4.16 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 5.57 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 23.74 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 1.98 (2050)
Frequently asked questions
- What is sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Japan?
- Sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Japan was 1 Unspecified in 2026, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
- What is the highest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Japan?
- The highest recorded value was 1 Unspecified in 1956.
- What is the lowest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Japan?
- The lowest recorded value was 0 Unspecified in 1960.
- How does Japan rank for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal?
- Japan ranks 1st out of 30 countries with data for 2026.
- Where does this Japan data come from?
- The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 71 observations, free to reuse under OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required).
About this data
The Sahm rule is a simple recession indicator based on increases in the unemployment rate. Originally developed for the United States, it is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least 0.5 percentage points above its lowest level in the previous year. To assess its usefulness beyond the United States, the OECD has calculated the Sahm indicator for OECD countries using monthly unemployment rates from the OECD Labour Force Surveys and replaced the fixed U.S. threshold with country-specific thresholds. Under this approach, the indicator is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises above its country-specific threshold relative to its lowest level in the previous year. For more information please refer to Can we predict recessions using only unemployment data? Applying the Sahm rule to OECD countries.