Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Ireland

Ireland: Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal was 1 Unspecified in 2026. ◆ Volatile

Latest (2026)
1 Unspecified
Change on year
unchanged
World rank
1st
of 30 countries
All-time high
1 Unspecified
in 1984
All-time low
0 Unspecified
in 1987
Years of data
43
1984–2026

Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Ireland, 1984–2026

00.20.40.60.811984200520261984: 1 Unspecified1985: 1 Unspecified1986: 1 Unspecified1987: 0 Unspecified1988: 0 Unspecified1989: 0 Unspecified1990: 0 Unspecified1991: 1 Unspecified1992: 1 Unspecified1993: 1 Unspecified1994: 0 Unspecified1995: 0 Unspecified1996: 0 Unspecified1997: 0 Unspecified1998: 0 Unspecified1999: 0 Unspecified2000: 0 Unspecified2001: 1 Unspecified2002: 1 Unspecified2003: 1 Unspecified2004: 1 Unspecified2005: 1 Unspecified2006: 1 Unspecified2007: 1 Unspecified2008: 1 Unspecified2009: 1 Unspecified2010: 1 Unspecified2011: 1 Unspecified2012: 1 Unspecified2013: 0 Unspecified2014: 0 Unspecified2015: 0 Unspecified2016: 0 Unspecified2017: 0 Unspecified2018: 0 Unspecified2019: 0 Unspecified2020: 1 Unspecified2021: 1 Unspecified2022: 0 Unspecified2023: 1 Unspecified2024: 0 Unspecified2025: 1 Unspecified2026: 1 Unspecified

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Unspecified.

Analysis

In 2026, sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Ireland stood at 1 Unspecified. That is the highest value across all 43 years on record.

That represents a change of unchanged over five years.

Over the whole period, sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Ireland peaked at 1 Unspecified in 1984 and was at its lowest, 0 Unspecified, in 1987.

Ireland ranks 1st of 30 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.

The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.

Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Ireland, year by year

Annual values for Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Ireland, 1984 to 2026.
Year Unspecified Change
1984 1 Unspecified —
1985 1 Unspecified +0.0%
1986 1 Unspecified +0.0%
1987 0 Unspecified -100.0%
1988 0 Unspecified —
1989 0 Unspecified —
1990 0 Unspecified —
1991 1 Unspecified —
1992 1 Unspecified +0.0%
1993 1 Unspecified +0.0%
1994 0 Unspecified -100.0%
1995 0 Unspecified —
1996 0 Unspecified —
1997 0 Unspecified —
1998 0 Unspecified —
1999 0 Unspecified —
2000 0 Unspecified —
2001 1 Unspecified —
2002 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2003 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2004 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2005 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2006 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2007 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2008 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2009 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2010 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2011 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2012 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2013 0 Unspecified -100.0%
2014 0 Unspecified —
2015 0 Unspecified —
2016 0 Unspecified —
2017 0 Unspecified —
2018 0 Unspecified —
2019 0 Unspecified —
2020 1 Unspecified —
2021 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2022 0 Unspecified -100.0%
2023 1 Unspecified —
2024 0 Unspecified -100.0%
2025 1 Unspecified —
2026 1 Unspecified +0.0%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1980s 0.5 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 6
1990s 0.3 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 10
2000s 0.9 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 10
2010s 0.3 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 10
2020s 0.7143 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 7

Countries ranked near Ireland

  1. 1 Japan 1 Unspecified compare
  2. 1 United Kingdom 1 Unspecified compare
  3. 1 Luxembourg 1 Unspecified compare
  4. 1 Chile 1 Unspecified compare
  5. 1 Netherlands 1 Unspecified compare
  6. 1 Czechia 1 Unspecified compare
  7. 1 Slovenia 1 Unspecified compare

See the full ranking of 32 places →

More reference data data for Ireland

All data for Ireland →

Frequently asked questions

What is sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Ireland?
Sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Ireland was 1 Unspecified in 2026, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Ireland?
The highest recorded value was 1 Unspecified in 1984.
What is the lowest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Ireland?
The lowest recorded value was 0 Unspecified in 1987.
How does Ireland rank for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal?
Ireland ranks 1st out of 30 countries with data for 2026.
Where does this Ireland data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Ireland. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 14 November 2026, from https://reference.statizoid.com/stat/sahm-rule-recession-indicator-recession-signal/ireland/

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About this data

Indicator
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal
Unit
Unspecified
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
32 places, 1,260 data points, 1955–2026
Last refreshed

The Sahm rule is a simple recession indicator based on increases in the unemployment rate. Originally developed for the United States, it is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least 0.5 percentage points above its lowest level in the previous year. To assess its usefulness beyond the United States, the OECD has calculated the Sahm indicator for OECD countries using monthly unemployment rates from the OECD Labour Force Surveys and replaced the fixed U.S. threshold with country-specific thresholds. Under this approach, the indicator is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises above its country-specific threshold relative to its lowest level in the previous year. For more information please refer to Can we predict recessions using only unemployment data? Applying the Sahm rule to OECD countries.