Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Türkiye

Türkiye: Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal was 0 Unspecified in 2026. ◆ Volatile

Latest (2026)
0 Unspecified
World rank
9th
of 30 countries
All-time high
1 Unspecified
in 2008
All-time low
0 Unspecified
in 2006
Years of data
21
2006–2026

Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Türkiye, 2006–2026

00.20.40.60.812006201620262006: 0 Unspecified2007: 0 Unspecified2008: 1 Unspecified2009: 1 Unspecified2010: 0 Unspecified2011: 0 Unspecified2012: 0 Unspecified2013: 0 Unspecified2014: 0 Unspecified2015: 0 Unspecified2016: 1 Unspecified2017: 1 Unspecified2018: 1 Unspecified2019: 1 Unspecified2020: 0 Unspecified2021: 0 Unspecified2022: 0 Unspecified2023: 0 Unspecified2024: 0 Unspecified2025: 0 Unspecified2026: 0 Unspecified

Source: Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Measured in Unspecified.

Analysis

Türkiye recorded 0 Unspecified for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in 2026. That is the lowest value across all 21 years on record.

The figure is down 100.0% over ten years.

Over the whole period, sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Türkiye peaked at 1 Unspecified in 2008 and was at its lowest, 0 Unspecified, in 2006.

Türkiye ranks 9th of 30 countries on this measure, in the middle of the range.

The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.

Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Türkiye, year by year

Annual values for Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Türkiye, 2006 to 2026.
Year Unspecified Change
2006 0 Unspecified —
2007 0 Unspecified —
2008 1 Unspecified —
2009 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2010 0 Unspecified -100.0%
2011 0 Unspecified —
2012 0 Unspecified —
2013 0 Unspecified —
2014 0 Unspecified —
2015 0 Unspecified —
2016 1 Unspecified —
2017 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2018 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2019 1 Unspecified +0.0%
2020 0 Unspecified -100.0%
2021 0 Unspecified —
2022 0 Unspecified —
2023 0 Unspecified —
2024 0 Unspecified —
2025 0 Unspecified —
2026 0 Unspecified —

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 0.5 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 4
2010s 0.4 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 1 Unspecified 10
2020s 0 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 0 Unspecified 7

Countries ranked near Türkiye

  1. 9 Canada 0 Unspecified compare
  2. 9 United States 0 Unspecified compare
  3. 9 Australia 0 Unspecified compare
  4. 9 France 0 Unspecified compare
  5. 9 Denmark 0 Unspecified compare
  6. 9 Italy 0 Unspecified compare
  7. 9 Sweden 0 Unspecified compare
  8. 9 Finland 0 Unspecified compare
  9. 9 Belgium 0 Unspecified compare
  10. 9 Germany 0 Unspecified compare
  11. 9 Portugal 0 Unspecified compare
  12. 9 Spain 0 Unspecified compare
  13. 9 Hungary 0 Unspecified compare
  14. 9 Austria 0 Unspecified compare
  15. 9 Greece 0 Unspecified compare
  16. 9 Estonia 0 Unspecified compare
  17. 9 Lithuania 0 Unspecified compare
  18. 9 Poland 0 Unspecified compare
  19. 9 Latvia 0 Unspecified compare
  20. 9 Mexico 0 Unspecified compare
  21. 9 Iceland 0 Unspecified compare

See the full ranking of 32 places →

More reference data data for Türkiye

All data for Türkiye →

Frequently asked questions

What is sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Türkiye?
Sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal in Türkiye was 0 Unspecified in 2026, according to Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development.
What is the highest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Türkiye?
The highest recorded value was 1 Unspecified in 2008.
What is the lowest sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal recorded in Türkiye?
The lowest recorded value was 0 Unspecified in 2006.
How does Türkiye rank for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal?
Türkiye ranks 9th out of 30 countries with data for 2026.
Is sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal rising or falling in Türkiye?
Over the last ten years it is down 100.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
Where does this Türkiye data come from?
The figures come from Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as part of Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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CSV · JSON — 21 observations, free to reuse under OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required).

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Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal in Türkiye. Statizoid, drawing on Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development. Retrieved 13 November 2026, from https://reference.statizoid.com/stat/sahm-rule-recession-indicator-recession-signal/turkiye-2/

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About this data

Indicator
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal
Unit
Unspecified
Source
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
Licence
OECD Terms and Conditions (attribution required)
Coverage
32 places, 1,260 data points, 1955–2026
Last refreshed

The Sahm rule is a simple recession indicator based on increases in the unemployment rate. Originally developed for the United States, it is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least 0.5 percentage points above its lowest level in the previous year. To assess its usefulness beyond the United States, the OECD has calculated the Sahm indicator for OECD countries using monthly unemployment rates from the OECD Labour Force Surveys and replaced the fixed U.S. threshold with country-specific thresholds. Under this approach, the indicator is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises above its country-specific threshold relative to its lowest level in the previous year. For more information please refer to Can we predict recessions using only unemployment data? Applying the Sahm rule to OECD countries.