Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa

South Africa: Probability of dying in infancy, by sex was 2.6% in 2023. ▼ Falling

Latest (2023)
2.6%
Change on year
down 6.8%
World rank
51st
of 236 countries
All-time high
13.2%
in 1950
All-time low
2.0%
in 2020
Years of data
74
1950–2023

Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa, 1950–2023

2.557.51012.5195019862023

Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.

Analysis

The most recent figure for probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa is 2.6%, measured in 2023.

The figure is down 6.8% on the previous year and down 7.2% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa peaked at 13.2% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 2.0%, in 2020.

That places South Africa 51st out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.

Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa, year by year

Annual values for Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa, 1950 to 2023.
Year % Change
1950 13.2%
1951 12.8% -3.0%
1952 12.4% -3.1%
1953 12.0% -3.3%
1954 11.6% -3.5%
1955 11.2% -3.6%
1956 10.7% -4.0%
1957 10.3% -3.9%
1958 9.9% -3.6%
1959 9.6% -3.2%
1960 9.4% -2.7%
1961 9.1% -2.2%
1962 9.0% -1.8%
1963 8.9% -1.4%
1964 8.7% -1.2%
1965 8.7% -1.1%
1966 8.6% -1.1%
1967 8.5% -1.1%
1968 8.4% -1.2%
1969 8.2% -1.3%
1970 8.1% -1.5%
1971 8.0% -1.7%
1972 7.8% -1.9%
1973 7.7% -2.1%
1974 7.5% -2.2%
1975 7.3% -2.4%
1976 7.1% -2.6%
1977 6.9% -2.9%
1978 6.7% -3.2%
1979 6.5% -3.5%
1980 6.2% -3.7%
1981 6.0% -3.9%
1982 5.7% -4.1%
1983 5.5% -4.2%
1984 5.3% -4.1%
1985 5.1% -4.1%
1986 4.9% -3.9%
1987 4.7% -3.4%
1988 4.5% -3.6%
1989 4.4% -2.8%
1990 4.3% -2.2%
1991 4.2% -1.8%
1992 4.2% -0.9%
1993 4.2% -0.1%
1994 4.2% +0.6%
1995 4.3% +1.4%
1996 4.4% +2.1%
1997 4.5% +2.5%
1998 4.6% +3.0%
1999 4.7% +3.1%
2000 4.3% -8.2%
2001 4.5% +3.7%
2002 4.9% +9.4%
2003 5.1% +3.4%
2004 4.8% -5.6%
2005 5.0% +3.3%
2006 4.6% -7.1%
2007 4.5% -2.1%
2008 4.3% -5.3%
2009 3.7% -14.7%
2010 3.3% -8.7%
2011 2.7% -19.1%
2012 2.6% -4.7%
2013 2.8% +7.5%
2014 2.7% -2.4%
2015 2.6% -3.3%
2016 2.4% -8.4%
2017 2.2% -7.2%
2018 2.4% +7.4%
2019 2.6% +9.4%
2020 2.0% -22.8%
2021 2.5% +26.2%
2022 2.8% +8.4%
2023 2.6% -6.8%

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
1950s 11.4% 9.6% 13.2% 10
1960s 8.7% 8.2% 9.4% 10
1970s 7.4% 6.5% 8.1% 10
1980s 5.2% 4.4% 6.2% 10
1990s 4.4% 4.2% 4.7% 10
2000s 4.6% 3.7% 5.1% 10
2010s 2.6% 2.2% 3.3% 10
2020s 2.5% 2.0% 2.8% 4

Countries ranked near South Africa

  1. 48 Botswana 2.6% compare
  2. 49 Dominica 2.6% compare
  3. 50 Congo 2.6% compare
  4. 52 Uganda 2.5% compare
  5. 53 Rwanda 2.5% compare
  6. 54 Gabon 2.4% compare

See the full ranking of 236 places →

More reference data data for South Africa

All data for South Africa →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa?
Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa was 2.6% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
What is the highest probability of dying in infancy, by sex recorded in South Africa?
The highest recorded value was 13.2% in 1950.
What is the lowest probability of dying in infancy, by sex recorded in South Africa?
The lowest recorded value was 2.0% in 2020.
How does South Africa rank for probability of dying in infancy, by sex?
South Africa ranks 51st out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
Is probability of dying in infancy, by sex rising or falling in South Africa?
Over the last ten years it is down 7.2%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this South Africa data come from?
The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability of dying in infancy, by sex. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

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Probability of dying in infancy, by sex in South Africa. Statizoid, drawing on Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Retrieved 10 September 2026, from https://reference.statizoid.com/stat/probability-that-a-newborn-will-die-in-the-first-year-of-life-by-sex/south-africa/

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About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying in infancy, by sex
Unit
%
Source
Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
236 places, 18,722 data points, 1751–2023
Last refreshed

Probability of dying in a given interval, among people who survived to the start of that interval.