Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria
Nigeria: Probability of dying, by age was 0.0699 in 2021. ▼ Falling
Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria, 2000–2021
Source: World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
Analysis
Nigeria recorded 0.0699 for probability of dying, by age in 2021. That is the lowest value across all 22 years on record.
The figure is down 2.2% on the previous year and down 14.5% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability of dying, by age in Nigeria peaked at 0.1075 in 2000 and was at its lowest, 0.0699, in 2021.
That places Nigeria 3rd out of 185 countries with data for 2021, putting it in the top 10%.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 22 years of available data.
Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria, year by year
| Year | Value | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 0.1075 | — |
| 2001 | 0.1045 | -2.7% |
| 2002 | 0.1016 | -2.7% |
| 2003 | 0.0988 | -2.8% |
| 2004 | 0.096 | -2.9% |
| 2005 | 0.0933 | -2.8% |
| 2006 | 0.0907 | -2.8% |
| 2007 | 0.0884 | -2.5% |
| 2008 | 0.0863 | -2.4% |
| 2009 | 0.0846 | -2.0% |
| 2010 | 0.0831 | -1.7% |
| 2011 | 0.0818 | -1.6% |
| 2012 | 0.0806 | -1.4% |
| 2013 | 0.0798 | -1.1% |
| 2014 | 0.079 | -1.0% |
| 2015 | 0.0782 | -1.0% |
| 2016 | 0.0774 | -1.1% |
| 2017 | 0.0762 | -1.4% |
| 2018 | 0.0748 | -1.9% |
| 2019 | 0.0731 | -2.3% |
| 2020 | 0.0715 | -2.3% |
| 2021 | 0.0699 | -2.2% |
Nigeria compared with similar countries
- Nigeria's 0.0699 is above the median for lower middle income countries, which is 0.031, 2.3× the median. (47 countries reporting)
- Nigeria's 0.0699 is above the median for Sub-Saharan Africa, which is 0.0396, 1.8× the median. (48 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000s | 0.0952 | 0.0846 | 0.1075 | 10 |
| 2010s | 0.0784 | 0.0731 | 0.0831 | 10 |
| 2020s | 0.0707 | 0.0699 | 0.0715 | 2 |
Countries ranked near Nigeria
- 1 Sierra Leone 0.0768 compare
- 2 Central African Republic 0.0743 compare
- 4 Somalia 0.0681 compare
- 5 Chad 0.0654 compare
- 6 Guinea 0.0636 compare
More reference data data for Nigeria
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 1.77 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 19.51 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 27 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 2.62 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Agricultural Soils 27 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 5.94 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure Management 5.8 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 81.9 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 121.16 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 14.27 (2050)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability of dying, by age in Nigeria?
- Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria was 0.0699 in 2021, according to World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability of dying, by age recorded in Nigeria?
- The highest recorded value was 0.1075 in 2000.
- What is the lowest probability of dying, by age recorded in Nigeria?
- The lowest recorded value was 0.0699 in 2021.
- How does Nigeria rank for probability of dying, by age?
- Nigeria ranks 3rd out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
- Is probability of dying, by age rising or falling in Nigeria?
- Over the last ten years it is down 14.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this Nigeria data come from?
- The figures come from World Health Organization – Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability of dying, by age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 22 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Probability of dying within the age interval shown, expressed as a fraction. Intervals span several years for every group except infants, so this is not an annual risk.