Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria

Nigeria: Probability of dying, by age was 0.0699 in 2021. ▼ Falling

Latest (2021)
0.0699
Change on year
down 2.2%
World rank
3rd
of 185 countries
All-time high
0.1075
in 2000
All-time low
0.0699
in 2021
Years of data
22
2000–2021

Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria, 2000–2021

00.0250.050.0750.12000201020212000: 0.1072001: 0.1052002: 0.1022003: 0.0992004: 0.0962005: 0.0932006: 0.0912007: 0.0882008: 0.0862009: 0.0852010: 0.0832011: 0.0822012: 0.0812013: 0.082014: 0.0792015: 0.0782016: 0.0772017: 0.0762018: 0.0752019: 0.0732020: 0.0712021: 0.07

Source: World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.

Analysis

Nigeria recorded 0.0699 for probability of dying, by age in 2021. That is the lowest value across all 22 years on record.

The figure is down 2.2% on the previous year and down 14.5% over ten years.

Over the whole period, probability of dying, by age in Nigeria peaked at 0.1075 in 2000 and was at its lowest, 0.0699, in 2021.

That places Nigeria 3rd out of 185 countries with data for 2021, putting it in the top 10%.

The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 22 years of available data.

Averages by decade

DecadeAverage LowestHighest Years
2000s 0.0952 0.0846 0.1075 10
2010s 0.0784 0.0731 0.0831 10
2020s 0.0707 0.0699 0.0715 2

Countries ranked near Nigeria

  1. 1 Sierra Leone 0.0768 compare
  2. 2 Central African Republic 0.0743 compare
  3. 4 Somalia 0.0681 compare
  4. 5 Chad 0.0654 compare
  5. 6 Guinea 0.0636 compare

See the full ranking of 185 places →

More reference data data for Nigeria

All data for Nigeria →

Frequently asked questions

What is probability of dying, by age in Nigeria?
Probability of dying, by age in Nigeria was 0.0699 in 2021, according to World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
What is the highest probability of dying, by age recorded in Nigeria?
The highest recorded value was 0.1075 in 2000.
What is the lowest probability of dying, by age recorded in Nigeria?
The lowest recorded value was 0.0699 in 2021.
How does Nigeria rank for probability of dying, by age?
Nigeria ranks 3rd out of 185 countries with data for 2021.
Is probability of dying, by age rising or falling in Nigeria?
Over the last ten years it is down 14.5%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
Where does this Nigeria data come from?
The figures come from World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability of dying, by age. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.

Download this data

CSV · JSON — 22 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).

About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying, by age
Source
World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
185 places, 4,070 data points, 2000–2021
Last refreshed

The annual probability of death among people in a given age group, expressed as a fraction.