Statizoid

Probability of dying, by age by country

The annual probability of death among people in a given age group, expressed as a fraction.

Countries reporting
182
Highest
0.0768
Sierra Leone
Lowest
0.0015
Estonia
Median
0.0131
Years covered
22
2000–2021
Data points
4,070

What the numbers show

Probability of dying, by age is currently reported for 182 countries. The highest value is 0.0768 in Sierra Leone; the lowest is 0.0015 in Estonia.

The median across all reporting countries is 0.0131, and the mean is 0.0204.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 50.

Over the past decade 12 countries rose and 170 fell. The largest increase was in Venezuela (up 43.4%), and the largest decrease in Sao Tome and Principe (down 57.8%).

Probability of dying, by age: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Sierra Leone 0.0768 2021 down 24.6% falling
2 Central African Republic 0.0743 2021 down 15.9% falling
3 Nigeria 0.0699 2021 down 14.5% falling
4 Somalia 0.0681 2021 down 27.4% falling
5 Chad 0.0654 2021 down 19.8% falling
6 Guinea 0.0636 2021 down 15.0% falling
7 South Sudan 0.0631 2021 down 3.5% falling
8 Mali 0.0607 2021 down 19.8% falling
9 Democratic Republic of Congo 0.0606 2021 down 24.0% falling
10 Niger 0.0599 2021 down 8.3% falling
11 Lesotho 0.0578 2021 down 8.2% falling
12 Equatorial Guinea 0.0576 2021 down 20.6% falling
13 Liberia 0.0565 2021 down 18.0% falling
14 Benin 0.0548 2021 down 18.9% falling
15 Cote d'Ivoire 0.0533 2021 down 23.9% falling
16 Pakistan 0.0522 2021 down 23.6% falling
17 Burkina Faso 0.051 2021 down 22.2% falling
18 Guinea-Bissau 0.0505 2021 down 26.7% falling
19 Mozambique 0.0499 2021 down 25.4% falling
20 Cameroon 0.0479 2021 down 27.8% falling
21 Angola 0.0473 2021 down 32.7% falling
22 Afghanistan 0.0459 2021 down 25.7% falling
23 Haiti 0.0453 2021 down 20.9% falling
24 Djibouti 0.045 2021 down 24.4% falling
25 Kiribati 0.0449 2021 down 0.4% falling
26 Madagascar 0.0449 2021 down 4.0% falling
27 Togo 0.0431 2021 down 23.6% falling
28 East Timor 0.0429 2021 down 24.3% falling
29 Eswatini 0.0402 2021 down 26.0% falling
30 Zambia 0.0398 2021 down 19.8% falling
31 Comoros 0.0394 2021 down 25.6% falling
32 Sudan 0.0381 2021 down 22.0% falling
33 Burundi 0.0379 2021 down 32.4% falling
34 Turkmenistan 0.0355 2021 down 2.8% falling
35 Zimbabwe 0.0354 2021 down 30.5% falling
36 Yemen 0.0351 2021 down 16.0% falling
37 Ethiopia 0.0348 2021 down 33.1% falling
38 Papua New Guinea 0.0348 2021 down 21.2% falling
39 Myanmar 0.0338 2021 down 27.7% falling
40 Laos 0.0338 2021 down 33.1% falling
41 Gambia 0.0335 2021 down 24.3% falling
42 Ghana 0.0325 2021 down 28.5% falling
43 Mauritania 0.0324 2021 down 14.5% falling
44 Congo 0.0322 2021 down 23.0% falling
45 Botswana 0.0316 2021 down 30.7% falling
46 Tanzania 0.031 2021 down 29.1% falling
47 Kenya 0.031 2021 down 15.6% falling
48 Uganda 0.031 2021 down 34.2% falling
49 Malawi 0.0309 2021 down 35.9% falling
50 Rwanda 0.0298 2021 down 27.8% falling
51 Gabon 0.0293 2021 down 26.6% falling
52 Eritrea 0.029 2021 down 24.4% falling
53 Senegal 0.0287 2021 down 30.0% falling
54 Namibia 0.0287 2021 down 22.6% falling
55 South Africa 0.0277 2021 down 16.8% falling
56 Dominican Republic 0.0275 2021 down 4.2% falling
57 Tajikistan 0.0273 2021 down 23.7% falling
58 India 0.0268 2021 down 39.6% falling
59 Bangladesh 0.0248 2021 down 33.3% falling
60 Nepal 0.0236 2021 down 35.7% falling
61 Fiji 0.0232 2021 up 25.8% rising
62 Guyana 0.0228 2021 down 24.0% falling
63 Philippines 0.0219 2021 down 3.9% falling
64 Cambodia 0.0215 2021 down 38.0% falling
65 Micronesia (country) 0.0214 2021 down 24.5% falling
66 Venezuela 0.0212 2021 up 43.4% rising
67 Iraq 0.0207 2021 down 25.3% falling
68 Bolivia 0.0206 2021 down 35.0% falling
69 Bhutan 0.0206 2021 down 33.9% falling
70 Guatemala 0.0193 2021 down 29.5% falling
71 Algeria 0.0191 2021 down 17.3% falling
72 Indonesia 0.0186 2021 down 30.3% falling
73 Syria 0.0179 2021 down 1.8% rising
74 Azerbaijan 0.0168 2021 down 45.3% falling
75 Vietnam 0.0165 2021 down 9.5% falling
76 Solomon Islands 0.0163 2021 down 24.7% falling
77 Jamaica 0.0161 2021 down 1.0% falling
78 Vanuatu 0.016 2021 down 18.4% falling
79 Saint Lucia 0.016 2021 down 0.6% rising
80 Egypt 0.0157 2021 down 31.6% falling
81 Kyrgyzstan 0.0156 2021 down 36.1% falling
82 Morocco 0.0155 2021 down 38.7% falling
83 Suriname 0.0155 2021 down 23.3% falling
84 Paraguay 0.0153 2021 down 26.8% falling
85 Grenada 0.0144 2021 up 12.9% rising
86 Lebanon 0.0143 2021 up 33.5% falling
87 Samoa 0.0142 2021 down 13.4% falling
88 Trinidad and Tobago 0.0142 2021 down 26.5% falling
89 Honduras 0.014 2021 down 29.6% falling
90 Mauritius 0.0138 2021 up 7.0% falling
91 Nicaragua 0.0135 2021 down 29.5% falling
92 Palestine 0.0127 2021 down 29.7% falling
93 Brazil 0.0127 2021 down 20.1% falling
94 Seychelles 0.0127 2021 up 4.2% rising
95 North Korea 0.0126 2021 down 41.3% volatile
96 Jordan 0.0126 2021 down 25.1% falling
97 Uzbekistan 0.0125 2021 down 48.6% falling
98 Moldova 0.0122 2021 down 18.6% falling
99 Panama 0.0121 2021 down 21.4% falling
100 Mongolia 0.0121 2021 down 40.0% falling
101 Sao Tome and Principe 0.012 2021 down 57.8% falling
102 Peru 0.012 2021 down 20.0% falling
103 Mexico 0.0114 2021 down 28.0% falling
104 Bahamas 0.0113 2021 down 12.4% falling
105 Colombia 0.011 2021 down 27.7% falling
106 Cape Verde 0.011 2021 down 46.0% falling
107 Ecuador 0.0108 2021 down 30.2% falling
108 Iran 0.0106 2021 down 31.9% falling
109 Tunisia 0.0106 2021 down 33.5% falling
110 El Salvador 0.0106 2021 down 32.7% falling
111 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 0.0106 2021 down 42.1% falling
112 Barbados 0.0102 2021 down 21.7% falling
113 Oman 0.01 2021 up 2.0% falling
114 Belize 0.0099 2021 down 36.0% falling
115 Tonga 0.0097 2021 down 12.3% falling
116 Armenia 0.0096 2021 down 39.2% falling
117 Libya 0.0091 2021 down 41.4% falling
118 Kazakhstan 0.0089 2021 down 45.6% falling
119 Albania 0.0087 2021 down 20.6% falling
120 Argentina 0.0086 2021 down 27.8% falling
121 Turkey 0.0086 2021 down 39.9% falling
122 Brunei 0.0085 2021 up 4.6% rising
123 Georgia 0.0084 2021 down 28.3% falling
124 Antigua and Barbuda 0.0083 2021 down 15.1% falling
125 Kuwait 0.0077 2021 down 12.0% falling
126 Thailand 0.0073 2021 down 30.1% falling
127 Saudi Arabia 0.0071 2021 down 38.3% falling
128 Ukraine 0.007 2021 down 27.0% falling
129 Costa Rica 0.0069 2021 down 21.8% falling
130 Malaysia 0.0068 2021 down 2.0% flat
131 Uruguay 0.0061 2021 down 31.4% falling
132 Cuba 0.0059 2021 up 18.5% falling
133 Bahrain 0.0058 2021 down 23.0% falling
134 Puerto Rico 0.0058 2021 down 31.8% falling
135 Sri Lanka 0.0058 2021 down 38.8% falling
136 Chile 0.0056 2021 down 28.4% falling
137 Bulgaria 0.0055 2021 down 36.5% falling
138 United States 0.0054 2021 down 10.2% falling
139 Romania 0.0054 2021 down 41.8% falling
140 Bosnia and Herzegovina 0.0052 2021 down 7.1% falling
141 China 0.0051 2021 down 55.3% volatile
142 Maldives 0.0051 2021 down 56.3% volatile
144 Qatar 0.0049 2021 down 29.5% falling
145 Slovakia 0.0049 2021 down 12.5% falling
146 Serbia 0.0046 2021 down 27.8% falling
147 North Macedonia 0.0046 2021 down 48.7% falling
148 Canada 0.0044 2021 down 8.8% falling
149 United Arab Emirates 0.0043 2021 down 56.6% falling
150 Russia 0.004 2021 down 46.9% falling
151 Croatia 0.0039 2021 down 13.7% falling
152 New Zealand 0.0039 2021 down 25.9% falling
153 Poland 0.0039 2021 down 19.0% falling
154 Greece 0.0037 2021 up 9.4% falling
155 United Kingdom 0.0036 2021 down 15.6% falling
156 France 0.0036 2021 up 7.6% rising
157 Netherlands 0.0034 2021 down 4.4% falling
158 Australia 0.0034 2021 down 14.0% falling
159 Hungary 0.0033 2021 down 32.1% falling
160 Switzerland 0.0032 2021 down 16.7% falling
161 Denmark 0.0032 2021 down 5.9% falling
162 Belgium 0.0031 2021 down 6.4% falling
163 Latvia 0.0031 2021 down 51.1% falling
164 Germany 0.003 2021 down 15.3% falling
165 Lithuania 0.0029 2021 down 35.6% falling
166 Austria 0.0028 2021 down 21.2% falling
168 Israel 0.0027 2021 down 22.5% falling
169 Cyprus 0.0027 2021 up 0.7% falling
170 Spain 0.0026 2021 down 15.6% falling
171 South Korea 0.0025 2021 down 26.2% falling
172 Portugal 0.0024 2021 down 21.3% falling
173 Montenegro 0.0024 2021 down 52.2% volatile
174 Italy 0.0023 2021 down 28.5% falling
175 Czechia 0.0022 2021 down 14.3% falling
177 Belarus 0.0021 2021 down 47.7% falling
178 Iceland 0.0021 2021 down 0.9% falling
179 Slovenia 0.0019 2021 down 24.5% falling
180 Finland 0.0019 2021 down 19.1% falling
181 Singapore 0.0018 2021 down 20.4% falling
182 Sweden 0.0018 2021 down 10.3% falling
183 Norway 0.0018 2021 down 26.9% falling
184 Japan 0.0017 2021 down 34.6% falling
185 Estonia 0.0015 2021 down 53.3% volatile

About this data

Indicator
Probability of dying, by age
Source
World Health Organization - Global Health Observatory (2026) – with minor processing by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
185 places, 4,070 data points, 2000–2021
Last refreshed

The annual probability of death among people in a given age group, expressed as a fraction.