Estonia vs United States: Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal over time
- Estonia
- United States
How they compare
Estonia currently reports 0 Unspecified against 0 Unspecified in United States, a difference of 0 Unspecified.
The two have swapped places 2 times across 29 shared years of data; in 1998 it was United States ahead.
Estonia ranks 9th and United States ranks 9th of 30 countries.
Across the 4 decades both report, Estonia averaged higher in 1 and United States in 2.
Head to head by decade
| Decade | Estonia | United States | Difference | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1990s | 0.5 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | 0.5 Unspecified | Estonia |
| 2000s | 0.3 Unspecified | 0.5 Unspecified | 0.2 Unspecified | United States |
| 2010s | 0.1 Unspecified | 0.1 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 2020s | 0.2857 Unspecified | 0.4286 Unspecified | 0.1429 Unspecified | United States |
Averages of every year both report within each decade.
Frequently asked questions
- Which has higher sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal, Estonia or United States?
- Estonia, at 0 Unspecified against 0 Unspecified in United States as of 2026.
- What is the difference in sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal between Estonia and United States?
- 0 Unspecified, with Estonia ahead.
- How many years of comparable data are there for Estonia and United States?
- 29 years are reported by both, from 1998 to 2026.
- How do Estonia and United States rank globally for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal?
- Estonia ranks 9th and United States ranks 9th of 30 countries.
- Where does this data come from?
- Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.
Individual pages
About this data
The Sahm rule is a simple recession indicator based on increases in the unemployment rate. Originally developed for the United States, it is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least 0.5 percentage points above its lowest level in the previous year. To assess its usefulness beyond the United States, the OECD has calculated the Sahm indicator for OECD countries using monthly unemployment rates from the OECD Labour Force Surveys and replaced the fixed U.S. threshold with country-specific thresholds. Under this approach, the indicator is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises above its country-specific threshold relative to its lowest level in the previous year. For more information please refer to Can we predict recessions using only unemployment data? Applying the Sahm rule to OECD countries.