Statizoid

Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Total by country

Total population in thousands in the specified age group that has completed lower secondary or incomplete upper secondary education as the highest level of educational attainment. Projections are based on collected census and survey data for the base year (around 2010) and the Medium Shared Socioeconomic Pathways...

Countries reporting
166
Highest
18,818
Nigeria
Lowest
0.24
Iceland
Median
227.32
Years covered
91
2010–2100
Data points
3,173

What the numbers show

Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Total is currently reported for 166 countries. The highest value is 18,818 in Nigeria; the lowest is 0.24 in Iceland.

The median across all reporting countries is 227.32, and the mean is 935.47.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 78,408.

Over the past decade 15 countries rose and 150 fell. The largest increase was in Niger (up 10.0%), and the largest decrease in Cabo Verde (down 41.7%).

Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Nigeria 18,818 2100 down 4.6% rising
2 India 12,982 2100 down 18.6% falling
3 United States 11,568 2100 down 5.2% falling
4 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 8,833 2100 down 5.6% rising
5 Pakistan 5,104 2100 down 13.3% flat
6 Uganda 4,673 2100 up 0.8% volatile
7 Mexico 3,766 2100 down 12.9% falling
8 Indonesia 3,758 2100 down 15.9% falling
9 Bangladesh 3,617 2100 down 9.9% falling
10 Brazil 3,533 2100 down 14.6% falling
11 Kenya 3,090 2100 down 10.2% rising
12 Malawi 2,962 2100 down 6.4% rising
13 Niger 2,907 2100 up 10.0% volatile
14 Ethiopia, The Federal Democratic Republic of 2,810 2100 up 1.5% rising
15 United Kingdom 2,631 2100 down 3.2% rising
16 Tanzania 2,394 2100 up 9.2% rising
17 Ghana 2,303 2100 down 10.2% rising
18 Iraq 2,262 2100 down 6.3% rising
19 Saudi Arabia 2,111 2100 down 8.0% rising
20 Germany 2,045 2100 down 4.2% flat
21 South Africa 1,982 2100 down 15.0% falling
22 Mozambique 1,890 2100 down 7.0% rising
23 Madagascar, Republic of 1,881 2100 up 4.0% rising
24 China (People’s Republic of) 1,758 2100 down 26.4% volatile
25 Zambia 1,679 2100 down 3.0% rising
26 Japan 1,581 2100 down 10.2% falling
27 Egypt, Arab Republic of 1,536 2100 down 16.6% falling
28 Mali 1,529 2100 up 0.3% volatile
29 Russia 1,341 2100 down 15.8% falling
30 Argentina 1,310 2100 down 10.6% falling
31 Burkina Faso 1,307 2100 up 6.8% volatile
32 Senegal 1,212 2100 up 1.8% rising
33 Syrian Arab Republic 1,202 2100 down 6.1% rising
34 Italy 1,163 2100 down 10.9% falling
35 Morocco 1,134 2100 down 6.8% flat
36 Guatemala 1,057 2100 down 10.0% rising
37 Spain 1,034 2100 down 8.9% falling
38 Cameroon 1,002 2100 down 5.5% rising
39 Benin 946.97 2100 down 2.5% rising
40 Chad 893.12 2100 up 4.2% volatile
41 Vietnam 871.99 2100 down 17.8% falling
42 Côte d’Ivoire 828.01 2100 up 1.4% rising
43 Thailand 758.39 2100 down 11.2% falling
44 Iran, Islamic Republic of 754.2 2100 down 17.8% falling
45 Guinea 733.29 2100 down 2.0% rising
46 Poland 727.63 2100 down 4.9% falling
47 France 725.92 2100 down 6.5% falling
48 Rwanda 696.17 2100 down 0.0% rising
49 Nepal 685.99 2100 down 17.6% falling
50 Philippines 667.97 2100 down 15.1% falling
51 Korea 655.12 2100 down 9.4% falling
52 Colombia 565.89 2100 down 17.1% falling
53 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 556.64 2100 down 10.7% falling
54 Sierra Leone 556.13 2100 down 5.2% rising
55 Sweden 525.93 2100 down 0.0% rising
56 Liberia 516.55 2100 up 1.0% volatile
57 Ecuador 506.86 2100 down 10.7% falling
58 Cambodia 496.49 2100 down 8.4% rising
59 Türkiye 490.41 2100 down 16.0% falling
60 Jordan 425.97 2100 down 7.8% rising
61 Algeria 407.79 2100 down 17.0% falling
62 Tunisia 398.22 2100 down 5.1% falling
63 Canada 388.67 2100 down 5.2% falling
64 Netherlands 386.32 2100 down 6.5% falling
65 Sudan 364.72 2100 up 0.0% rising
66 Ukraine 360.26 2100 down 15.9% falling
67 Denmark 357.24 2100 down 1.5% rising
68 Bolivia 340.75 2100 down 11.5% falling
69 Norway 325.19 2100 down 0.7% rising
70 Haiti 319.5 2100 down 6.8% rising
71 Portugal 310.64 2100 down 7.3% falling
72 Paraguay 308.69 2100 down 8.4% rising
73 Belgium 300.91 2100 down 4.8% falling
74 Honduras 298.09 2100 down 6.1% rising
75 Palestine 292.77 2100 down 9.4% falling
76 Switzerland 287.55 2100 down 3.5% flat
77 Finland 284.07 2100 down 0.3% rising
78 Australia 282.32 2100 down 10.0% falling
79 Congo, Republic of 257.69 2100 down 2.1% rising
80 Myanmar 254.32 2100 down 14.1% falling
81 Romania 249.62 2100 down 13.4% falling
82 Burundi 243.69 2100 up 5.5% rising
83 Peru 234.65 2100 down 19.2% falling
84 Dominican Republic 219.99 2100 down 15.6% falling
85 Austria 192.41 2100 down 5.1% falling
86 Ireland 187.74 2100 down 3.9% rising
87 Czechia 185.35 2100 down 7.2% falling
88 Chile 173.51 2100 down 16.5% falling
89 Serbia, Republic of 172.78 2100 down 9.4% falling
90 Kuwait 167.41 2100 down 12.4% rising
91 El Salvador 163.34 2100 down 9.2% falling
92 Zimbabwe 160.63 2100 down 18.9% falling
93 Kazakhstan, Republic of 156.89 2100 down 17.9% falling
94 Azerbaijan, Republic of 148.86 2100 down 17.9% falling
95 Greece 143.5 2100 down 10.1% falling
96 Costa Rica 126.93 2100 down 7.3% rising
97 Namibia 126.4 2100 down 10.6% falling
98 Kyrgyz Republic 123.48 2100 down 13.7% falling
99 Somalia 117.15 2100 down 7.7% rising
100 Panama 114.71 2100 down 12.0% falling
101 Nicaragua 114.69 2100 down 13.7% falling
102 Gambia, The 113.57 2100 down 11.3% rising
103 Lebanon 112.38 2100 down 7.6% falling
104 Hungary 109.38 2100 down 12.4% falling
105 Tajikistan, Republic of 108.2 2100 down 17.1% falling
106 Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 106.75 2100 down 3.1% falling
107 Central African Republic 103.02 2100 up 7.3% rising
108 Singapore 100.98 2100 down 8.1% falling
109 Israel 95.19 2100 down 7.8% falling
110 United Arab Emirates 90.64 2100 down 16.2% falling
111 Timor-Leste, Democratic Republic of 90.07 2100 down 4.6% rising
112 Cuba 88.73 2100 down 14.8% volatile
113 Turkmenistan 87.48 2100 down 13.0% falling
114 Guinea-Bissau 83.09 2100 down 9.2% rising
115 Malaysia 81.13 2100 down 16.9% volatile
116 Uruguay 78.08 2100 down 8.1% falling
117 Bulgaria 75.65 2100 down 12.9% falling
118 Gabon 69.19 2100 down 4.3% rising
119 Belarus, Republic of 67.91 2100 down 16.0% falling
120 Slovak Republic 64.34 2100 down 7.9% falling
121 Bahrain, Kingdom of 64.19 2100 down 13.8% rising
122 Lesotho 58.79 2100 down 5.6% rising
123 Mongolia 58.28 2100 down 16.0% falling
124 Albania 55.77 2100 down 12.0% falling
125 Equatorial Guinea, Republic of 55.7 2100 down 9.9% rising
126 Lithuania 55.2 2100 down 0.2% falling
127 Jamaica 52.7 2100 down 14.9% falling
128 Lao People's Democratic Republic 50.45 2100 down 15.5% falling
129 Slovenia 48.69 2100 down 7.8% falling
130 Eswatini, Kingdom of 43.13 2100 down 4.0% rising
131 Bosnia and Herzegovina 38.89 2100 down 13.9% falling
132 Luxembourg 37.11 2100 down 3.7% rising
133 Croatia, Republic of 35.66 2100 down 14.6% falling
134 Bhutan 34.76 2100 down 13.7% flat
134 Mauritius 34.76 2100 down 8.0% rising
136 North Macedonia, Republic of 33.88 2100 down 12.4% falling
137 Armenia, Republic of 32.29 2100 down 10.2% falling
138 Georgia 31.24 2100 down 10.9% falling
139 Latvia 29.02 2100 down 7.2% falling
140 Estonia 27.3 2100 down 5.6% falling
141 New Zealand 26.37 2100 down 13.1% falling
142 Qatar 23.19 2100 down 13.4% flat
143 Comoros, Union of the 21.27 2100 up 1.5% rising
144 Puerto Rico 20.98 2100 down 12.3% volatile
145 Macau (China) 18.06 2100 down 6.9% rising
146 Belize 18 2100 down 6.2% rising
147 Moldova, Republic of 17.59 2100 down 18.6% volatile
148 Cyprus 16.88 2100 down 6.8% falling
149 Bahamas, The 14.34 2100 down 6.3% falling
150 Trinidad and Tobago 14.32 2100 down 17.1% falling
151 Maldives 13.89 2100 down 5.1% falling
152 Suriname 13.51 2100 down 12.2% falling
153 Montenegro 11.31 2100 down 9.9% falling
154 Vanuatu 11.07 2100 down 10.9% rising
155 Malta 9.89 2100 down 5.7% falling
156 Guyana 8.65 2100 down 11.9% volatile
157 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 6.67 2100 down 2.8% rising
158 Samoa 3.86 2100 down 9.0% falling
159 Aruba 3.8 2100 down 7.3% falling
160 Tonga 2.68 2100 down 12.7% falling
161 St. Lucia 2.54 2100 down 14.2% falling
162 New Caledonia 2 2100 down 11.1% falling
163 Cabo Verde 1.27 2100 down 41.7% volatile
164 French Polynesia 0.99 2100 down 11.6% volatile
165 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0.66 2100 down 13.2% falling
166 Iceland 0.24 2100 unchanged rising

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest by country. Statizoid, drawing on Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/. Retrieved 18 August 2026, from https://reference.statizoid.com/stat/wittgenstein-projection-population-age-15-19-in-thousands-by-highest-level-of-educational-6/

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About this data

Indicator
Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Total
Source
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
167 places, 3,173 data points, 2010–2100
Last refreshed

Total population in thousands in the specified age group that has completed lower secondary or incomplete upper secondary education as the highest level of educational attainment. Projections are based on collected census and survey data for the base year (around 2010) and the Medium Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2) projection model. The SSP2 is a middle-of-the-road scenario that combines medium fertility with medium mortality, medium migration, and the Global Education Trend (GET) education scenario. For more information and other projection models, consult the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital's website: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/