Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Male by country

Total population in thousands in the specified age group that has completed lower secondary or incomplete upper secondary education as the highest level of educational attainment. Projections are based on collected census and survey data for the base year (around 2010) and the Medium Shared Socioeconomic Pathways...

Countries reporting
166
Highest
9,636
Nigeria
Lowest
0.12
Iceland
Median
116.35
Years covered
91
2010–2100
Data points
3,173

What the numbers show

Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Male is currently reported for 166 countries. The highest value is 9,636 in Nigeria; the lowest is 0.12 in Iceland.

The median across all reporting countries is 116.35, and the mean is 478.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 80,297.

Over the past decade 16 countries rose and 149 fell. The largest increase was in Niger (up 10.2%), and the largest decrease in Cabo Verde (down 41.4%).

Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Nigeria 9,636 2100 down 4.4% rising
2 India 6,741 2100 down 18.6% falling
3 United States 5,920 2100 down 5.2% falling
4 Congo, Democratic Republic of the 4,433 2100 down 5.4% rising
5 Pakistan 2,608 2100 down 13.3% falling
6 Uganda 2,362 2100 up 1.0% volatile
7 Mexico 1,928 2100 down 12.8% falling
8 Indonesia 1,919 2100 down 15.8% falling
9 Bangladesh 1,850 2100 down 9.7% falling
10 Brazil 1,808 2100 down 14.6% falling
11 Kenya 1,563 2100 down 10.0% rising
12 Malawi 1,501 2100 down 6.3% rising
13 Niger 1,483 2100 up 10.2% volatile
14 Ethiopia, The Federal Democratic Republic of 1,423 2100 up 1.6% rising
15 United Kingdom 1,348 2100 down 3.3% flat
16 Tanzania, United Republic of 1,212 2100 up 9.2% rising
17 Ghana 1,184 2100 down 10.2% rising
18 Iraq 1,169 2100 down 6.3% rising
19 Saudi Arabia 1,071 2100 down 8.0% rising
20 Germany 1,052 2100 down 4.1% flat
21 South Africa 1,007 2100 down 15.1% falling
22 Mozambique, Republic of 955.67 2100 down 6.8% rising
23 Madagascar, Republic of 953.16 2100 up 4.0% volatile
24 China, People's Republic of 908.56 2100 down 26.4% volatile
25 Zambia 847.5 2100 down 2.8% rising
26 Japan 813.25 2100 down 10.2% falling
27 Egypt, Arab Republic of 786.72 2100 down 16.6% falling
28 Mali 779.8 2100 up 0.6% rising
29 Russian Federation 690.43 2100 down 15.8% falling
30 Argentina 667.59 2100 down 10.6% falling
31 Burkina Faso 667.36 2100 up 7.1% volatile
32 Syrian Arab Republic 615.24 2100 down 6.0% rising
33 Senegal 613.95 2100 up 1.9% rising
34 Italy 598.71 2100 down 11.0% falling
35 Morocco 583.07 2100 down 6.7% flat
36 Guatemala 540.2 2100 down 9.9% rising
37 Spain 531.66 2100 down 8.9% falling
38 Cameroon 505.76 2100 down 5.3% rising
39 Benin 481.18 2100 down 2.3% rising
40 Chad 449.1 2100 up 4.5% volatile
41 Vietnam 446.39 2100 down 17.8% falling
42 Côte d'Ivoire 416.96 2100 up 1.5% rising
43 Thailand 390.24 2100 down 11.3% falling
44 Iran, Islamic Republic of 386.2 2100 down 17.8% falling
45 Guinea 375.72 2100 down 1.8% rising
46 Poland, Republic of 374.23 2100 down 4.9% falling
47 France 371.76 2100 down 6.5% falling
48 Nepal 351.12 2100 down 17.5% falling
49 Rwanda 348.35 2100 up 0.2% volatile
50 Philippines 342.83 2100 down 15.1% falling
51 Korea, Republic of 338.5 2100 down 9.4% falling
52 Colombia 289.43 2100 down 17.1% falling
53 Venezuela, República Bolivariana de 284.86 2100 down 10.7% falling
54 Sierra Leone 278.86 2100 down 5.0% rising
55 Sweden 270.62 2100 down 0.0% rising
56 Liberia 265.32 2100 up 1.2% volatile
57 Ecuador 259.42 2100 down 10.7% falling
58 Cambodia 254.15 2100 down 8.3% rising
59 Türkiye, Republic of 251.25 2100 down 16.0% falling
60 Jordan 218.05 2100 down 7.8% flat
61 Algeria 208.84 2100 down 17.0% falling
62 Tunisia 203.89 2100 down 5.1% falling
63 Canada 199.98 2100 down 5.1% falling
64 Netherlands, The 198.79 2100 down 6.5% falling
65 Ukraine 185.44 2100 down 15.9% falling
66 Sudan 185.43 2100 up 0.3% rising
67 Denmark 183.71 2100 down 1.4% rising
68 Bolivia 174.29 2100 down 11.5% falling
69 Norway 167.4 2100 down 0.8% rising
70 Haiti 163.29 2100 down 6.7% rising
71 Portugal 159.83 2100 down 7.3% falling
72 Paraguay 157.97 2100 down 8.3% rising
73 Belgium 154.07 2100 down 4.8% falling
74 Honduras 152.59 2100 down 6.1% rising
75 Palestine 149.96 2100 down 9.5% falling
76 Switzerland 147.29 2100 down 3.5% falling
77 Finland 145.49 2100 down 0.3% rising
78 Australia 145.24 2100 down 10.0% falling
79 Congo, Republic of 130.35 2100 down 1.9% rising
80 Myanmar 128.9 2100 down 13.9% volatile
81 Romania 128.44 2100 down 13.4% falling
82 Burundi 123.46 2100 up 5.7% volatile
83 Peru 120.1 2100 down 19.2% falling
84 Dominican Republic 112.6 2100 down 15.6% falling
85 Austria 98.97 2100 down 5.1% falling
86 Ireland 97.02 2100 down 3.9% rising
87 Czech Republic 95.43 2100 down 7.3% falling
88 Serbia, Republic of 89.7 2100 down 9.4% falling
89 Chile 88.4 2100 down 16.5% falling
90 Kuwait 85.04 2100 down 12.8% flat
91 El Salvador 83.47 2100 down 9.1% falling
92 Kazakhstan, Republic of 81.21 2100 down 18.1% falling
93 Zimbabwe 80.85 2100 down 18.7% falling
94 Azerbaijan, Republic of 76.68 2100 down 18.0% falling
95 Greece 74.17 2100 down 10.2% falling
96 Costa Rica 64.99 2100 down 7.4% rising
97 Namibia 64.11 2100 down 10.7% flat
98 Kyrgyz Republic 63.54 2100 down 13.8% falling
99 Somalia 58.98 2100 down 7.5% rising
100 Panama 58.73 2100 down 12.1% falling
101 Nicaragua 58.68 2100 down 13.7% falling
102 Lebanon 57.56 2100 down 7.6% falling
103 Gambia, The 57.49 2100 down 11.2% rising
104 Hungary 56.26 2100 down 12.4% falling
105 Tajikistan, Republic of 55.48 2100 down 17.0% falling
106 Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 55.06 2100 down 2.6% falling
107 Singapore 52.19 2100 down 8.1% falling
108 Central African Republic 51.73 2100 up 7.7% rising
109 Israel 48.74 2100 down 7.8% falling
110 United Arab Emirates 46.67 2100 down 17.2% falling
111 Timor-Leste, Democratic Republic of 46.06 2100 down 4.5% rising
112 Cuba 45.66 2100 down 14.9% volatile
113 Turkmenistan 44.81 2100 down 13.0% falling
114 Guinea-Bissau 41.75 2100 down 9.0% rising
115 Malaysia 41.73 2100 down 16.9% volatile
116 Uruguay 39.98 2100 down 8.1% falling
117 Bulgaria 38.91 2100 down 13.0% falling
118 Gabon 35.06 2100 down 4.4% rising
119 Belarus, Republic of 34.95 2100 down 16.0% falling
120 Bahrain, Kingdom of 33.02 2100 down 14.6% rising
121 Slovak Republic 32.97 2100 down 8.0% falling
122 Lesotho, Kingdom of 29.77 2100 down 5.6% rising
123 Mongolia 29.6 2100 down 16.0% falling
124 Albania 28.86 2100 down 12.2% falling
125 Lithuania, Republic of 28.28 2100 down 0.3% falling
126 Equatorial Guinea, Republic of 28.09 2100 down 9.7% rising
127 Jamaica 26.98 2100 down 15.0% falling
128 Lao People's Democratic Republic 25.84 2100 down 15.4% falling
129 Slovenia, Republic of 24.94 2100 down 7.9% falling
130 Eswatini, Kingdom of 21.81 2100 down 3.7% rising
131 Bosnia and Herzegovina 20.09 2100 down 13.9% falling
132 Luxembourg 19.09 2100 down 3.7% rising
133 Croatia, Republic of 18.35 2100 down 14.6% falling
134 Bhutan 17.74 2100 down 14.1% flat
135 Mauritius 17.71 2100 down 8.0% rising
136 North Macedonia, Republic of 17.59 2100 down 12.4% falling
137 Armenia, Republic of 16.66 2100 down 9.8% falling
138 Georgia 16.22 2100 down 10.9% falling
139 Latvia, Republic of 14.93 2100 down 7.3% falling
140 Estonia, Republic of 14.04 2100 down 5.6% falling
141 New Zealand 13.57 2100 down 13.0% falling
142 Qatar 11.95 2100 down 15.5% falling
143 Comoros, Union of the 10.87 2100 up 1.7% rising
144 Puerto Rico 10.76 2100 down 12.7% volatile
145 Macao Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China 9.23 2100 down 6.4% rising
146 Belize 9.12 2100 down 6.1% rising
147 Moldova, Republic of 9.07 2100 down 19.0% volatile
148 Cyprus 8.74 2100 down 7.1% falling
149 Bahamas, The 7.37 2100 down 6.2% falling
150 Trinidad and Tobago 7.29 2100 down 17.0% falling
151 Maldives 7.14 2100 down 4.9% flat
152 Suriname 7 2100 down 12.3% falling
153 Montenegro 5.87 2100 down 9.8% falling
154 Vanuatu 5.72 2100 down 10.9% rising
155 Malta 5.09 2100 down 5.6% falling
156 Guyana 4.43 2100 down 12.1% volatile
157 São Tomé and Príncipe, Democratic Republic of 3.38 2100 down 2.6% rising
158 Samoa 2 2100 down 9.5% falling
159 Aruba, Kingdom of the Netherlands 1.95 2100 down 7.1% falling
160 Tonga 1.38 2100 down 12.1% falling
161 St. Lucia 1.29 2100 down 14.0% falling
162 New Caledonia 1.03 2100 down 10.4% falling
163 Cabo Verde 0.65 2100 down 41.4% volatile
164 French Polynesia 0.5 2100 down 13.8% volatile
165 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0.33 2100 down 15.4% falling
166 Iceland 0.12 2100 unchanged rising

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

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Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest by country. Statizoid, drawing on Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/. Retrieved 18 August 2026, from https://reference.statizoid.com/stat/wittgenstein-projection-population-age-15-19-in-thousands-by-highest-level-of-educational-5/

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About this data

Indicator
Wittgenstein Projection: Population age 15-19 in thousands by highest level of educational attainment. Lower Secondary. Male
Source
Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (World Bank Open Data)
Coverage
167 places, 3,173 data points, 2010–2100
Last refreshed

Total population in thousands in the specified age group that has completed lower secondary or incomplete upper secondary education as the highest level of educational attainment. Projections are based on collected census and survey data for the base year (around 2010) and the Medium Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2) projection model. The SSP2 is a middle-of-the-road scenario that combines medium fertility with medium mortality, medium migration, and the Global Education Trend (GET) education scenario. For more information and other projection models, consult the Wittgenstein Centre for Demography and Global Human Capital's website: http://www.oeaw.ac.at/vid/dataexplorer/