Projected change in dependency ratio depending on labor force participation by country

– Age dependency is the ratio between people defined as dependents (under-15s and over-65s) and working-age people. – Labor force dependency does not take into account age brackets but instead uses the ratio between those not participating in the workforce to those that are. – High labor force participation assumes...

Countries reporting
26
Highest
164.96
Greece
Lowest
80.3
Montenegro
Median
127.66
Years covered
46
2015–2060
Data points
290

What the numbers show

Projected change in dependency ratio depending on labor force participation is currently reported for 26 countries. The highest value is 164.96 in Greece; the lowest is 80.3 in Montenegro.

The median across all reporting countries is 127.66, and the mean is 128.07.

The gap between the highest and lowest reporting country is a factor of about 2.

Over the past decade 25 countries rose and 1 fell. The largest increase was in Latvia (up 11.7%), and the largest decrease in Italy (down 1.1%).

Projected change in dependency ratio depending on labor force participation: full country ranking

#Country LatestYear 10-year changeTrend
1 Greece 164.96 2060 up 2.4% rising
2 Spain 158.84 2060 up 2.5% rising
3 Cyprus 148.16 2060 up 7.6% rising
4 Slovenia 139.28 2060 up 0.4% rising
5 Portugal 139.21 2060 up 2.9% rising
6 Czechia 138.25 2060 up 8.1% rising
7 Germany 137.28 2060 up 4.3% rising
8 Austria 137 2060 up 7.5% rising
9 Slovakia 136.33 2060 up 10.8% rising
10 Lithuania 133.81 2060 up 4.6% rising
11 Latvia 132.78 2060 up 11.7% rising
12 Denmark 130.57 2060 up 4.4% rising
13 Croatia 128.04 2060 up 6.2% rising
15 Bulgaria 127.29 2060 up 5.4% rising
16 Poland 125.6 2060 up 9.4% rising
17 Netherlands 125.52 2060 up 2.9% rising
18 Belgium 125.3 2060 up 3.7% rising
19 Estonia 124.51 2060 up 7.2% rising
20 Finland 123.22 2060 up 4.7% rising
21 Romania 121.96 2060 up 4.7% rising
22 United Kingdom 118.13 2060 up 3.9% rising
24 France 114.99 2060 up 0.1% rising
25 Hungary 112.35 2060 up 7.6% rising
26 Sweden 105.44 2060 up 5.5% rising
27 Italy 100.73 2060 down 1.1% rising
28 Montenegro 80.3 2060 up 10.6% falling

Regions and income groups

Aggregates are excluded from the country ranking above so that a region can never outrank a country.

About this data

Indicator
Projected change in dependency ratio depending on labor force participation
Source
Marois et al. (2020) – processed by Our World in Data
Licence
CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data)
Coverage
29 places, 290 data points, 2015–2060
Last refreshed

– Age dependency is the ratio between people defined as dependents (under-15s and over-65s) and working-age people. – Labor force dependency does not take into account age brackets but instead uses the ratio between those not participating in the workforce to those that are. – High labor force participation assumes a higher share of people participating in the workforce (e.g. beyond the age of 65).