Probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa
South Africa: Probability of dying that year, among males was 3.0% in 2023. ▼ Falling
Probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa, 1950–2023
Source: Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2023, probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa stood at 3.0%.
Compared with earlier readings it is down 8.3% on the previous year and down 5.0% over ten years.
Over the whole period, probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa peaked at 14.5% in 1950 and was at its lowest, 2.3%, in 2020.
That places South Africa 55th out of 236 countries with data for 2023, putting it in the top quarter.
The long-run direction has been consistently falling across the 74 years of available data.
Probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1950 | 14.5% | — |
| 1951 | 14.1% | -2.7% |
| 1952 | 13.7% | -2.8% |
| 1953 | 13.3% | -3.0% |
| 1954 | 12.8% | -3.3% |
| 1955 | 12.4% | -3.6% |
| 1956 | 12.0% | -3.5% |
| 1957 | 11.5% | -3.5% |
| 1958 | 11.2% | -3.3% |
| 1959 | 10.8% | -2.9% |
| 1960 | 10.6% | -2.5% |
| 1961 | 10.3% | -2.1% |
| 1962 | 10.2% | -1.7% |
| 1963 | 10.0% | -1.4% |
| 1964 | 9.9% | -1.2% |
| 1965 | 9.8% | -1.1% |
| 1966 | 9.7% | -1.1% |
| 1967 | 9.6% | -1.1% |
| 1968 | 9.5% | -1.2% |
| 1969 | 9.3% | -1.3% |
| 1970 | 9.2% | -1.4% |
| 1971 | 9.1% | -1.6% |
| 1972 | 8.9% | -1.7% |
| 1973 | 8.7% | -1.8% |
| 1974 | 8.6% | -2.0% |
| 1975 | 8.4% | -2.1% |
| 1976 | 8.2% | -2.3% |
| 1977 | 8.0% | -2.5% |
| 1978 | 7.8% | -2.8% |
| 1979 | 7.5% | -3.1% |
| 1980 | 7.3% | -3.3% |
| 1981 | 7.0% | -3.5% |
| 1982 | 6.8% | -3.7% |
| 1983 | 6.5% | -3.8% |
| 1984 | 6.3% | -3.7% |
| 1985 | 6.0% | -3.7% |
| 1986 | 5.8% | -3.5% |
| 1987 | 5.6% | -3.1% |
| 1988 | 5.5% | -3.3% |
| 1989 | 5.3% | -2.7% |
| 1990 | 5.2% | -2.2% |
| 1991 | 5.1% | -1.8% |
| 1992 | 5.0% | -1.1% |
| 1993 | 5.0% | -0.4% |
| 1994 | 5.0% | +0.2% |
| 1995 | 5.1% | +0.9% |
| 1996 | 5.2% | +1.5% |
| 1997 | 5.2% | +1.8% |
| 1998 | 5.4% | +2.1% |
| 1999 | 5.5% | +2.2% |
| 2000 | 4.8% | -12.2% |
| 2001 | 4.9% | +2.9% |
| 2002 | 5.4% | +9.9% |
| 2003 | 5.6% | +3.0% |
| 2004 | 5.4% | -3.3% |
| 2005 | 5.4% | -0.3% |
| 2006 | 5.3% | -2.0% |
| 2007 | 5.1% | -3.2% |
| 2008 | 4.8% | -6.8% |
| 2009 | 4.3% | -10.4% |
| 2010 | 3.7% | -12.8% |
| 2011 | 3.0% | -19.8% |
| 2012 | 2.9% | -1.9% |
| 2013 | 3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2014 | 3.1% | -0.8% |
| 2015 | 3.0% | -4.8% |
| 2016 | 2.8% | -4.8% |
| 2017 | 2.5% | -10.6% |
| 2018 | 2.8% | +11.7% |
| 2019 | 3.0% | +4.5% |
| 2020 | 2.3% | -20.9% |
| 2021 | 3.0% | +27.2% |
| 2022 | 3.3% | +9.9% |
| 2023 | 3.0% | -8.3% |
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1950s | 12.6% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 10 |
| 1960s | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10 |
| 1970s | 8.4% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10 |
| 1980s | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10 |
| 1990s | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 10 |
| 2000s | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 10 |
| 2010s | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 10 |
| 2020s | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4 |
Countries ranked near South Africa
More reference data data for South Africa
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 0.5111 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 8.71 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 13.63 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 0.7468 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Agricultural Soils 13.63 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 1.71 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure Management 1.49 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 41.1 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 63.65 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 4.07 (2050)
Frequently asked questions
- What is probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa?
- Probability of dying that year, among males in South Africa was 3.0% in 2023, according to Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest probability of dying that year, among males recorded in South Africa?
- The highest recorded value was 14.5% in 1950.
- What is the lowest probability of dying that year, among males recorded in South Africa?
- The lowest recorded value was 2.3% in 2020.
- How does South Africa rank for probability of dying that year, among males?
- South Africa ranks 55th out of 236 countries with data for 2023.
- Is probability of dying that year, among males rising or falling in South Africa?
- Over the last ten years it is down 5.0%. The long-run trend across the full record is falling.
- Where does this South Africa data come from?
- The figures come from Human Mortality Database (2025); UN, World Population Prospects (2024) – with minor processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Probability of dying that year, among males. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
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About this data
Probability of dying in a given interval, among people who survived to the start of that interval.