Global warming: Contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China
China: Global warming: Contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature was 13.0% in 2024. ◆ Volatile
Global warming: Contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China, 1851–2024
Source: Jones et al. (2025) – with major processing by Our World in Data. Measured in %.
Analysis
In 2024, global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China stood at 13.0%. That is the highest value across all 174 years on record.
That represents a change of up 1.7% on the previous year and up 19.3% over ten years.
Over the whole period, global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China peaked at 13.0% in 2024 and was at its lowest, 1.4%, in 1879.
China ranks 2nd of 215 countries on this measure, in the top 10%.
The series is highly variable year to year, so single readings are best treated with caution.
Global warming: Contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China, year by year
| Year | % | Change |
|---|---|---|
| 1851 | 5.6% | — |
| 1852 | 5.4% | -4.6% |
| 1853 | 5.1% | -4.3% |
| 1854 | 4.9% | -4.4% |
| 1855 | 4.7% | -4.4% |
| 1856 | 4.5% | -4.3% |
| 1857 | 4.3% | -4.3% |
| 1858 | 4.1% | -4.4% |
| 1859 | 3.9% | -4.5% |
| 1860 | 3.8% | -4.5% |
| 1861 | 3.6% | -4.9% |
| 1862 | 3.4% | -5.0% |
| 1863 | 3.2% | -5.0% |
| 1864 | 3.1% | -5.3% |
| 1865 | 2.9% | -6.1% |
| 1866 | 2.7% | -6.4% |
| 1867 | 2.5% | -6.8% |
| 1868 | 2.3% | -7.1% |
| 1869 | 2.1% | -7.6% |
| 1870 | 2.0% | -7.8% |
| 1871 | 1.8% | -7.2% |
| 1872 | 1.7% | -6.4% |
| 1873 | 1.6% | -5.8% |
| 1874 | 1.5% | -4.8% |
| 1875 | 1.5% | -4.5% |
| 1876 | 1.4% | -3.4% |
| 1877 | 1.4% | -2.3% |
| 1878 | 1.4% | -1.7% |
| 1879 | 1.4% | -0.8% |
| 1880 | 1.4% | +0.4% |
| 1881 | 1.4% | +1.5% |
| 1882 | 1.4% | +2.1% |
| 1883 | 1.4% | +2.3% |
| 1884 | 1.5% | +2.6% |
| 1885 | 1.5% | +2.4% |
| 1886 | 1.6% | +2.9% |
| 1887 | 1.6% | +3.0% |
| 1888 | 1.7% | +3.1% |
| 1889 | 1.7% | +3.2% |
| 1890 | 1.8% | +3.5% |
| 1891 | 1.8% | +3.5% |
| 1892 | 1.9% | +3.2% |
| 1893 | 1.9% | +3.0% |
| 1894 | 2.0% | +2.9% |
| 1895 | 2.1% | +2.6% |
| 1896 | 2.1% | +2.5% |
| 1897 | 2.2% | +2.5% |
| 1898 | 2.2% | +2.4% |
| 1899 | 2.3% | +2.2% |
| 1900 | 2.3% | +2.3% |
| 1901 | 2.4% | +2.4% |
| 1902 | 2.4% | +2.3% |
| 1903 | 2.5% | +2.1% |
| 1904 | 2.5% | +2.0% |
| 1905 | 2.6% | +1.9% |
| 1906 | 2.6% | +1.9% |
| 1907 | 2.7% | +1.9% |
| 1908 | 2.7% | +2.0% |
| 1909 | 2.8% | +1.9% |
| 1910 | 2.8% | +1.9% |
| 1911 | 2.9% | +2.1% |
| 1912 | 2.9% | +1.8% |
| 1913 | 3.0% | +1.7% |
| 1914 | 3.0% | +2.0% |
| 1915 | 3.1% | +2.0% |
| 1916 | 3.2% | +1.9% |
| 1917 | 3.2% | +1.9% |
| 1918 | 3.3% | +2.0% |
| 1919 | 3.4% | +2.1% |
| 1920 | 3.4% | +1.7% |
| 1921 | 3.5% | +1.7% |
| 1922 | 3.5% | +1.5% |
| 1923 | 3.6% | +1.3% |
| 1924 | 3.6% | +1.2% |
| 1925 | 3.7% | +1.2% |
| 1926 | 3.7% | +1.0% |
| 1927 | 3.7% | +0.9% |
| 1928 | 3.8% | +0.8% |
| 1929 | 3.8% | +0.8% |
| 1930 | 3.8% | +1.0% |
| 1931 | 3.9% | +1.1% |
| 1932 | 3.9% | +1.2% |
| 1933 | 4.0% | +1.2% |
| 1934 | 4.0% | +1.1% |
| 1935 | 4.1% | +1.1% |
| 1936 | 4.1% | +1.0% |
| 1937 | 4.1% | +0.8% |
| 1938 | 4.2% | +0.8% |
| 1939 | 4.2% | +0.7% |
| 1940 | 4.2% | +0.9% |
| 1941 | 4.3% | +0.9% |
| 1942 | 4.3% | +1.0% |
| 1943 | 4.3% | +0.9% |
| 1944 | 4.4% | +0.9% |
| 1945 | 4.4% | +0.8% |
| 1946 | 4.4% | +0.6% |
| 1947 | 4.5% | +0.5% |
| 1948 | 4.5% | +0.4% |
| 1949 | 4.5% | +0.6% |
| 1950 | 4.6% | +1.0% |
| 1951 | 4.6% | +1.4% |
| 1952 | 4.7% | +0.9% |
| 1953 | 4.7% | +0.7% |
| 1954 | 4.8% | +1.1% |
| 1955 | 4.8% | +0.9% |
| 1956 | 4.8% | +0.7% |
| 1957 | 4.9% | +0.7% |
| 1958 | 4.9% | +1.1% |
| 1959 | 5.0% | +1.3% |
| 1960 | 5.1% | +1.4% |
| 1961 | 5.1% | +1.2% |
| 1962 | 5.2% | +0.9% |
| 1963 | 5.2% | +1.0% |
| 1964 | 5.3% | +0.9% |
| 1965 | 5.3% | +1.3% |
| 1966 | 5.4% | +1.1% |
| 1967 | 5.4% | +0.5% |
| 1968 | 5.4% | +0.7% |
| 1969 | 5.5% | +1.4% |
| 1970 | 5.6% | +1.5% |
| 1971 | 5.7% | +1.2% |
| 1972 | 5.8% | +1.7% |
| 1973 | 5.9% | +1.5% |
| 1974 | 5.9% | +1.4% |
| 1975 | 6.0% | +1.5% |
| 1976 | 6.1% | +1.3% |
| 1977 | 6.2% | +1.7% |
| 1978 | 6.3% | +1.7% |
| 1979 | 6.4% | +1.1% |
| 1980 | 6.4% | +1.0% |
| 1981 | 6.5% | +1.1% |
| 1982 | 6.6% | +1.3% |
| 1983 | 6.7% | +1.3% |
| 1984 | 6.8% | +1.3% |
| 1985 | 6.9% | +1.2% |
| 1986 | 6.9% | +1.2% |
| 1987 | 7.0% | +1.4% |
| 1988 | 7.1% | +1.4% |
| 1989 | 7.2% | +1.4% |
| 1990 | 7.3% | +1.3% |
| 1991 | 7.4% | +1.3% |
| 1992 | 7.5% | +1.3% |
| 1993 | 7.6% | +1.3% |
| 1994 | 7.7% | +1.4% |
| 1995 | 7.8% | +1.5% |
| 1996 | 8.0% | +1.5% |
| 1997 | 8.1% | +1.3% |
| 1998 | 8.2% | +1.2% |
| 1999 | 8.3% | +1.2% |
| 2000 | 8.4% | +1.1% |
| 2001 | 8.5% | +1.1% |
| 2002 | 8.6% | +1.2% |
| 2003 | 8.7% | +1.4% |
| 2004 | 8.8% | +1.5% |
| 2005 | 9.0% | +1.8% |
| 2006 | 9.1% | +2.0% |
| 2007 | 9.3% | +2.0% |
| 2008 | 9.5% | +2.1% |
| 2009 | 9.7% | +2.1% |
| 2010 | 9.9% | +2.2% |
| 2011 | 10.2% | +2.4% |
| 2012 | 10.4% | +2.3% |
| 2013 | 10.6% | +2.2% |
| 2014 | 10.9% | +2.1% |
| 2015 | 11.1% | +1.9% |
| 2016 | 11.3% | +1.7% |
| 2017 | 11.5% | +1.7% |
| 2018 | 11.7% | +1.7% |
| 2019 | 11.9% | +1.7% |
| 2020 | 12.1% | +1.8% |
| 2021 | 12.3% | +1.8% |
| 2022 | 12.5% | +1.8% |
| 2023 | 12.7% | +1.8% |
| 2024 | 13.0% | +1.7% |
China compared with similar countries
- China's 13.0% is above the median for upper middle income countries, which is 0.1%, 135.0× the median. (58 countries reporting)
- China's 13.0% is above the median for East Asia & Pacific, which is 0.1%, 187.8× the median. (34 countries reporting)
Averages by decade
| Decade | Average | Lowest | Highest | Years |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1850s | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9 |
| 1860s | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 10 |
| 1870s | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 10 |
| 1880s | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 10 |
| 1890s | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 10 |
| 1900s | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 10 |
| 1910s | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 10 |
| 1920s | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 10 |
| 1930s | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 10 |
| 1940s | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 10 |
| 1950s | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 10 |
| 1960s | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 10 |
| 1970s | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 10 |
| 1980s | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10 |
| 1990s | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10 |
| 2000s | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10 |
| 2010s | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10 |
| 2020s | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.0% | 5 |
Countries ranked near China
More reference data data for China
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 49.4 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 75.5 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 303.29 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 18.8 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Indirect emissions (N2O) - Agricultural Soils 303.29 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure applied to Soils 165.62 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure Management 206.2 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Manure left on Pasture 350.74 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - IPCC Agriculture 1,480 (2050)
- Emission Totals - Emissions (N2O) - Crop Residues 102.37 (2050)
Frequently asked questions
- What is global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China?
- Global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature in China was 13.0% in 2024, according to Jones et al. (2025) – with major processing by Our World in Data.
- What is the highest global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature recorded in China?
- The highest recorded value was 13.0% in 2024.
- What is the lowest global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature recorded in China?
- The lowest recorded value was 1.4% in 1879.
- How does China rank for global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature?
- China ranks 2nd out of 215 countries with data for 2024.
- Is global warming: contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature rising or falling in China?
- Over the last ten years it is up 19.3%. The long-run trend across the full record is volatile.
- Where does this China data come from?
- The figures come from Jones et al. (2025) – with major processing by Our World in Data, published as part of Global warming: Contributions to the change in global mean surface temperature. Statizoid updates them automatically from the source API.
Download this data
CSV · JSON — 174 observations, free to reuse under CC BY 4.0 (Our World in Data).
About this data
Measured as a percentage of the world's temperature change.