Belgium vs Italy: Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal
Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal over time
- Belgium
- Italy
How they compare
Belgium currently reports 0 Unspecified against 0 Unspecified in Italy, a difference of 0 Unspecified.
The two have swapped places 12 times across 43 shared years of data; in 1984 it was Italy ahead.
Belgium ranks 9th and Italy ranks 9th of 30 countries.
Across the 5 decades both report, Belgium averaged higher in 3 and Italy in 1.
Head to head by decade
| Decade | Belgium | Italy | Difference | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1980s | 0 Unspecified | 0.1667 Unspecified | 0.1667 Unspecified | Italy |
| 1990s | 0.3 Unspecified | 0.2 Unspecified | 0.1 Unspecified | Belgium |
| 2000s | 0.7 Unspecified | 0.1 Unspecified | 0.6 Unspecified | Belgium |
| 2010s | 0.5 Unspecified | 0.5 Unspecified | 0 Unspecified | — |
| 2020s | 0.5714 Unspecified | 0.2857 Unspecified | 0.2857 Unspecified | Belgium |
Averages of every year both report within each decade.
Frequently asked questions
- Which has higher sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal, Belgium or Italy?
- Belgium, at 0 Unspecified against 0 Unspecified in Italy as of 2026.
- What is the difference in sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal between Belgium and Italy?
- 0 Unspecified, with Belgium ahead.
- How many years of comparable data are there for Belgium and Italy?
- 43 years are reported by both, from 1984 to 2026.
- How do Belgium and Italy rank globally for sahm rule recession indicator — recession signal?
- Belgium ranks 9th and Italy ranks 9th of 30 countries.
- Where does this data come from?
- Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, published as Sahm rule recession indicator — Recession signal. Statizoid refreshes it automatically from the source and publishes the full history for both places.
Individual pages
About this data
The Sahm rule is a simple recession indicator based on increases in the unemployment rate. Originally developed for the United States, it is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises by at least 0.5 percentage points above its lowest level in the previous year. To assess its usefulness beyond the United States, the OECD has calculated the Sahm indicator for OECD countries using monthly unemployment rates from the OECD Labour Force Surveys and replaced the fixed U.S. threshold with country-specific thresholds. Under this approach, the indicator is triggered when the three-month average unemployment rate rises above its country-specific threshold relative to its lowest level in the previous year. For more information please refer to Can we predict recessions using only unemployment data? Applying the Sahm rule to OECD countries.